JHK FORECASTS

DEM

PRES

SENATE

HOUSE

JHK FORECASTS


DEM

PRES

SENATE

HOUSE

Presidential Forecast

The Ever-changing Race for the White House

The race for the Presidency can change in an instance, the chart below shows the zigs and zags of the race for the White House up until today.

WIN white house

Popular Vote

Electoral Votes

The Race to 270

The race for the Presidency is all about one thing, getting 270 electoral votes. The bars below represent each state, with the width determined by the electoral votes for that .

A Better Way to Look at it

Normal maps can be confusing when it comes to the electoral college. The map below shows each state, sized based on the electoral votes it get, and colored by each candidates chance of winning.

The Tipping Points

The election always comes down to a few states. The chart below shows which states are the closest, and which ones will decide the election. The tipping point measure is defined as the state that gets the eventual winner to 270.

The Ever-changing Race for the White House

The race for the Presidency can change in an instance, the chart below shows the zigs and zags of the race for the White House up until today.

WIN white house

Popular Vote

Electoral Votes

The Race to 270

The race for the Presidency is all about one thing, getting 270 electoral votes. The bars below represent each state, with the width determined by the electoral votes for that state, and the height the projected margin.

A Better Way to Look at it

Normal maps can be confusing when it comes to the electoral college. The map below shows each state, sized based on the electoral votes it get, and colored by each candidates chance of winning.

The Tipping Points

The election always comes down to a few states. The chart below shows which states are the closest, and which ones will decide the election. The tipping point measure is defined as the state that gets the eventual winner to 270.


Interactives/Projects

Presidential Forecast Manipulator

Simulator

Forecast Comparisons

Forecast Analysis

Manipulate the 2020 Presidential Election to see different scenarios.

Simulates the general election once based the forecast.

What are other forecasts predicting in 2020?

Looking back at models from 2020.


CREATED BY JACK KERSTING

HOW THE MODEL WORKS

DOWNLOAD DATA