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2022 Senate Forecasts
Take a deep dive into the 2022 Senate Forecasts.
Forecasts
1 The lower the brier score the better. It is calculated by the averaging (prob - outcome)^2. For example, a 70% race goes the other way, (.70-0)^2 = .49. Brier score is more complete compared to just win %, as win % is binary, and brier takes into account the given probability.
2 Experts who use tossups will be 50% correct on all tossups.
3 Presidential Brier and call % are weighted by electoral votes.
Consensus Forecast
Take a look at the average forecast for each race, and what % of forecasters got it right.
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Ratings |
% Correct |
Ratings
See how each forecaster rated each race. Hover over a forecaster's column to see their ratings for each race.
Created by: Jack Kersting
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