Arizona
The Ups and Downs of the race
The election cycle is an always moving machine. See the evolution of the race for the Arizona Senate seat.
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The Data Smoothie
A lot of data goes into creating a forecast. See what is moving the needle below. The Bigger the squares the bigger the weight in the model.
*State similarity takes the polling averages from similar states and adjusts those averages based on similarity and the fundamentals of that state.
**States with major third party candidates or awkward elections, have differnet calculations than the others.
Polling in Arizona
The polls below are the polls that are used to compute the polling average in Arizona.
