House

Senate

Maine 2nd

80% Confidence Candidate LO Proj. Vote HI

The Ups and Downs of the race

The election cycle is an always moving machine. See the evolution of the race for Maine's 2nd Congressional seat.

Win Maine 2nd

Proj. Vote

<<< Return to National Forecast <<<

Out with the Old, and in with the New

After every census each state draws new congressional seats based off the changes in population. Some states may gain seats, while others lose those seats.

What can you compare Maine's 2nd Congressional District to?

The map below shows what districts are most and least similar to Maine's 2nd District. Using demographics and partisan trends, each district gets a District Similiarty Index (DSI). The more green, the more similar, while the pink are less similar. The 30 most similar districts have a black outline aorund them.

AKALARAZCACOCTDEFLGAHIIAIDILINKSKYLAMAMDMEMIMNMOMSMTNCNDNENHNJNMNVNYOHOKORPARISCSDTNTXUTVAVTWAWIWVWY

The Data Smoothie

A lot of data goes into creating a forecast. See what is moving the needle below. The Bigger the squares the bigger the weight in the model.

Polling District Similarity Experts CNalysisCook Political ReportInside ElectionSabato's Crystal Ball Fundamentals PVIFundraisingIncumbency BumpGeneral BallotBiden Approval PROJ. MARGIN

Polling in Maine's 2nd

The polls below are the polls that are used to compute the polling average in Maine's 2nd.

JHK FORECASTS

H

S

Maine 2nd

The Ups and Downs of the race

The election cycle is an always moving machine. See the evolution of the race for the Maine's 2nd House seat.

Win Maine 2nd

Proj. Vote

<<< Return to National Forecast <<<

Out with the Old, and in with the New

After every census each state draws new congressional seats based off the changes in population. Some states may gain seats, while others lose those seats.

What can you compare Maine's 2nd Congressional District to?

The table below shows what districts are most and least similar to Maine's 2nd District. Using demographics and partisan trends, each district gets a District Similiarty Index (DSI). The more green, the more similar, while the pink are less similar.

The Data Smoothie

A lot of data goes into creating a forecast. See what is moving the needle below.

Polling Experts District Similarity CNalysis Cook Political Report Inside Election Sabato's Crystal Ball Fundamentals PVI Fundraising Incumbency Bump General Ballot Biden Approval PROJ. MARGIN

*District similarity takes the polling averages from similar districts and adjusts those averages based on similarity and the fundamentals of that state.

**Districts with major third party candidates or awkward elections, have differnet calculations than the others.

Polling in Maine's 2nd

The polls below are the polls that are used to compute the polling average in Maine's 2nd.